Nkhani yabwino!
Chifukwa chake kubwereza, Russia idalanda Ukraine, akuyenera kuti NATO ichoke kumalire ake, ngakhale kuti Ukraine sinali pamzere wa umembala.
Zotsatira zake, pali mamembala awiri amphamvu a NATO – Finland ndi Sweden, ndipo Ukraine ndi yotsimikizika kukwera kwa NATO nkhondo itatha.
Ntchito yabwino, Vlad.
Moni nonse. Ndabwerako patadutsa milungu iwiri yodzitchinjiriza kwathu ku El Salvador, ndikuyendera madera a dziko lomwe ndinali ndisanalionepo (lomwe silinali lofikirika kale chifukwa cha nkhondo kapena ziwawa zamagulu). Dzikoli lidachoka pakukhala limodzi mwa mayiko owopsa kwambiri pamtendere padziko lapansi kupita ku mayiko otetezeka kwambiri pambuyo pa Purezidenti wapano, Nayib Bukele, inathetsa ufulu wambiri wa anthu ndipo anatsekera zigawenga zoposa 100,000 zachiwawa. Ndi chikumbutso kuti anthu akufuna kukhala otetezeka ndipo adzakumbatira omwe akupereka, mosasamala kanthu za mtengo wake (kaya ndi miyoyo yotayika panthawi ya nkhondo, kapena kuphwanyidwa kwa Constitution). Buekele yemwe akuchulukirachulukira wodziyimira pawokha akusangalala ndi kuvomerezedwa kopitilira 90%. Zinali zodabwitsa kukhala wokhoza kuyenda popanda kuopa moyo wanga kapena wa mnzanga, ndipo tinali kumeneko kwa milungu iwiri yokha. Kwa amene amakhala kumeneko? Izo sizinali kanthu kafupi kosintha moyo.
Koma uwu ndi mutu wa tsiku lina. Ndidzanena kuti pamene ndinali ndi cholinga cha detox yonse ya digito, ndinalephera. Koma nditakhala ndi WiFi (yomwe inali pafupifupi theka la nthawi), ndidawonera makanema ndikudziphunzitsa pulogalamu yatsopano yanyimbo. Sindinagwire ntchito. Ndinadzisungira mavidiyo a imfa ndi chiwonongeko ndi kutaya mtima. Ndinachotsa Twitter ndi Slack pafoni yanga. Chifukwa chake sindikudziwa pang’ono zomwe zidalembedwa pano ndi Mark Sumner kapena wanga choyimira chodabwitsa, RO37. Heck, sindinakhudzidwebe mokwanira ndi masabata awiri apitawa a sewero lankhondo.
Koma chimene ndinaona nditangobwerako n’chakuti anthu ankada nkhawa ndi mmene nkhondo ya ku Ukraine ikuthamangira, ndipo ambiri ankati chifukwa chosowa ndege zonyamula anthu ku Ukraine. Chilichonse chodabwitsa kwambiri. Kuphwanya mizere imeneyo, ngakhale kuti ambiri adapambana mosayembekezereka, sizinali zophweka. Komabe, ngakhale apo, mayendedwe apano akugwirizana bwino ndi zomwe timayenera kuyembekezera. Ndiloleni ndifotokoze.
Ngakhale kuti palibe tsiku loti liyambe kutsutsa, tikudziwa kuti dziko la Ukraine lidachita zinthu zonyansa sabata yoyamba ya June ndipo linayambitsa zigawenga zake zoyamba pa June 8. Tsopano ndi July 9, kotero tikulankhula patangotha milungu inayi. Ukraine yapeza phindu lalikulu la ma kilomita mazana angapo, ndikuchotsa zopindula za Russia kuyambira chaka chonse chatha.
Koma kwenikweni, kulira otsutsa ndi Putin apologists, pa liwiro ili, izo zidzatenga zaka makumi kuti Ukraine imasule gawo lake lonse! Munjira zambiri, izi zikuwonetsa momwe tidanyozera zopeza zochepa za Russia kuzungulira Bakhmut miyezi isanu ndi itatu yapitayi. Koma pali kusiyana kwakukulu.
ndi RO37 zidanenedwa dzulo, Ukraine sanachitebe zambiri zankhondo zake. Ndipo ndikuwonjezera kuti ngakhale pamene tawona magulu ake a mphepo yamkuntho ophunzitsidwa akumadzulo, tikuwona magulu ang’onoang’ono akugwira ntchito, osati ma brigades odzaza. Zomwe Ukraine ikuchita ndikufufuza mizere, kuyang’ana kufooka, kulowetsa Russia m’malo omwe sanalangizidwe bwino kuti atengenso malo omwe adatayika – kulola Ukraine kupha anthu aku Russia poyera m’malo mobisala m’malo otetezedwa ndi ngalande. Ikuwononga chuma chachikulu kwambiri cha Russia, zida zake zankhondo, ndipo ikuchita izi mwaunyinji.
Mwachidule, palibe zambiri zomwe zasintha kuyambira pomwe ndidali pano. Russia ndi kulimbana koopsa kutsogolo za chitetezo chake osati mu iwo, ndipo Ukraine akadali kuwononga zida zankhondo zaku Russia kutengera madongosolo ambiri patsiku. Ndikadatha kulemba nkhani ziwirizo dzulo ndipo zikadakhala zankhaninkhani. Ingosinthani madeti.
Izi zimatchedwa “kukonza malo omenyera nkhondo,” ndipo ndi gawo limodzi lazowopsa zilizonse m’mbiri yankhondo. Gulu lankhondo lomwe likuukira limayang’ana nthawi zonse kuti lipange mikhalidwe yomwe ingawonjezere mwayi wake wopambana.
Panthawi ya Gulf War, US ndi ogwirizana nawo adakhala masiku 42 akugwiritsa ntchito ndege kuti achepetse chitetezo cha Iraq. Adawuluka maulendo opitilira 100,000 ndikuponya mizinga masauzande ambiri pazifukwa zazikulu zodzitetezera tanki yoyamba kapena mwana wakhanda asanawoloke ku Kuwait. Panthawi ya nkhondo ya Iraq, CIA idakhazikitsa malo omenyera nkhondo pogula akuluakulu aku Iraq ndikuchita nawo ma Kurds aku Iraq. Nkhondo zosiyanasiyana zimafuna njira zosiyanasiyana.
Ukraine ilibe ndege zapamwamba komanso masauzande a mizinga yapamadzi. Ndipo ubwino waukulu wa Russia si asilikali ophunzitsidwa bwino – zida zake ndi mabomba mamiliyoni ambiri omwe afalikira kutsogolo.
Chifukwa chake kuti ipite patsogolo bwino, Ukraine iyenera kunyozetsa mwayi wa zida zankhondo (zomwe zikuchitika pakadali pano), ndikuphwanya minda yamigodi (ikuchitikanso).
Ntchito zopanga zonsezi zimatenga nthawi, ndipo Ukraine ikuwongolera mwadongosolo. Nthawi yonseyi, ikuvutitsa magulu ankhondo aku Russia pamzerewu, kuyang’ana malo ofookawo, ndikuwalowetsa m’magulu odabwitsa omwe ali kunja kwa malo awo otetezera. Ndi malo enieni owombera.
Chifukwa chake ndizopusa kuyang’ana zachitetezochi poyesa masikweya kilomita a gawo lomasulidwa. Chofunikira ndikuchepetsa mphamvu zaku Russia mpaka pomwe Ukraine ikakankhira mwamphamvu, palibe kukana kwa Russia komwe kwatsala.
Cholemba chomaliza pa izi: Palibe ndege zomwe ogwirizana akadatumiza Ukraine zomwe zikanasintha mawerengedwe ankhondo apano. Palibe. Pazida zake zonse zonyansa, dongosolo limodzi la nthawi ya Soviet lomwe lachita bwino mbali zonse ndi chitetezo chamlengalenga.
Zimamveka; Chiphunzitso cha NATO chimaloseredwa kwambiri pakukwera kwamlengalenga, motero Soviet Union idachita ndalama zambiri pothana ndi chiwopsezo chimenecho. Ngakhale isanakhazikitsidwe ndi machitidwe a NATO, maukonde oteteza ndege aku Ukraine adakhazikitsanso bwino zikwi za ndege zaku Russia kuyambira masiku oyamba ankhondo. Ndipo chitetezo chawo cha ndege sichili chowundana ngati cha Russia. Chifukwa chake ayi, kutumiza ma F-16 angapo mwadzidzidzi sikungalole kuti Ukraine ipereke chithandizo chapafupi kunkhondo yaku Ukraine, sizingawalole kuwuluka pamizere yaku Russia yolunjika zida za adani, ndipo sizingachite chilichonse pazokhudza izi. minda yamigodi.
Chabwino, ma F-16 amenewo, oponya mivi yakutali yopita kumlengalenga, zingapangitse kuti zikhale zovuta kuti ndege zaku Russia zidutse kumbuyo. zawo mizere, koma chimenecho chingakhale, chabwino, kusintha pang’ono pazomwe zikuchitika.
Kuphatikiza apo, Ukraine ilinso ndi mphamvu zamlengalenga monga momwe zilili masiku ano: ma drones ndi zida za rocket.
Ndi mphamvu zamlengalenga, ndege za NATO zimatha kulowa m’mizere ya adani ndikulunjika zida za adani kapena magulu ankhondo. Ndi mphamvu ya ma drones ozindikira, HIMARS yakwanitsa kuchita zonsezi.
Nayi HIMARS ikutulutsa zida zotsika mtengo komanso zotetezeka kuposa momwe ndege iliyonse ingachitire:
Ndipo HIMARS yakhala ikutulutsa nyumba zaku Russia kuyambira pomwe idafika kumalo owonetsera.
Pakadali pano, ma drones odzipha akugwiranso ntchito kuchokera mlengalenga:
Airpower ndi okwera mtengo. F-35 yamakono, ndege yatsopano kwambiri ya NATO, ndalama pafupifupi $110 miliyoni pakopi, kuphatikiza zida zake zothandizira pansi; $ 7 miliyoni pachaka kukonza zofunika; ndi $42,000 pa ola kuwuluka.
$42,000 yokhayo ingagule ma drones a 100 a kamikaze, omwe amatha kugunda kwambiri kuposa ndegeyo mu ola limodzi (kuphatikiza mtengo wa lamulo, womwe ungayendere makumi kapena masauzande ena).
Inde, Ukraine ikufuna F-16s, ndipo pamapeto pake idzawapeza. Ndili ndi zida zoponya zolimbana ndi zombo, ndili wokondwa zomwe angachite ku zombo zapanyanja zaku Russia ku Sevastopol ku Crimea. Ndikukayikira kuti dziko la Russia lingasiya maziko ake ndikusuntha zombo zake kupita kumalo ake aku Black Sea, motetezedwa ndi netiweki yachitetezo chamlengalenga. Ma F-16 amathanso kukhala othandiza poteteza motsutsana ndi ma drone ndi mizinga.
Zomwe sakanachita ndikupangitsa kusiyana kwakukulu pansi, ndikubwezeretsanso gawo lakutsogolo. Pachifukwa chimenecho, Ukraine ili kale ndi zida zankhondo zomwe zimafunikira, zimangofunika zambiri.
Ndi zikwi zambiri za magalimoto omenyera nkhondo a M2 Bradley ndi machitidwe ena oterowo atakhala mosungiramo, ndakhala ndikukayikira kuti botolo si mphamvu ya United States kapena chikhumbo chopereka machitidwe otere, koma mphamvu ya Ukraine yophunzitsa ogwira ntchito kuti azigwira ntchito.
Zilengezo ziwiri zomaliza zakuchotsa Purezidenti (Juni 27 ndi Julayi 7) pamodzi adalengeza zowonjezera 62 M2 Bradleys ndi 57 Stryker onyamula zida zankhondo ku Ukraine.
Zikuwoneka ngati ndikupanga kwa gulu lina latsopano la Chiyukireniya. Zomwe zikusowa ndi akasinja, koma mwina adzaphatikizidwa ndi 100 Leopard 1s omwe akufika ku Ukraine? Pomwe spigot yayikulu yankhondo ya M1 Abrams itsegulidwa, ndi ena masauzande ambiri omwe akusungidwa, Ukraine idzakhala ndi zida zonse zomwe zimafunikira. Vutoli lidzakhala kuphunzitsa antchito kugwiritsa ntchito zida zimenezo.
Izi ndi Asilikali ankhondo aku America akunja, olankhula Chingerezi. Zindikirani kukula kwa kuphulikako, ndiye mgodi wotsutsa thanki womwe ukutulutsa humvee … Zida zakumadzulo zimagogomezera chitetezo cha ogwira ntchito. Zida zitha kusinthidwa. Anthu sangathe. Ndipo ngakhale kuchokera kuzinthu zothandizira, ndizodula komanso zowononga nthawi kuphunzitsa asilikali. Inu simungakhoze konse kuzipeza izo mmbuyo.
Kunena zoona, kuona zinthu ngati zimenezi kumandipangitsa kumva bwino. Mwana wanga wamwamuna pano akutumizidwa ku Middle East. Panopa zinthu zili phee, koma ndimakonda kudziwa kuti zinthu zikatentha, azitetezedwa ndi zida zake.
Kodi munamvapo za Turkey ikulonjeza kuti idzagwira akuluakulu a Azov mpaka kumapeto kwa nkhondo, ndikuphwanya mgwirizanowo powabwezera ku Ukraine?
Putin sanawonekere wofooka kapena wosagwira ntchito. Russia yatsala pang’ono kudandaula kuti Turkey sinavutike ngakhale kuwapatsa mutu.
Ndikuwona malipoti akuti dziko la Turkey litha kupitiliza kutsimikizira chitetezo cha sitima zapamadzi zaku Ukraine ngakhale kuti Russia idaumirira kuti sidzakonzanso mgwirizano wapanja. Russia sizingayang’ane zombo za Turkey kuti zingakokere NATO kunkhondo. Ikuwonetsanso kusowa mphamvu kwa Russia. Zala zinadutsana kuti malipoti ndi oona.
Iyi ndi kanema wabwino kwambiri wa Purezidenti waku Ukraine Volodomyr Zelenskyy akubweretsa ngwazi za Azovstal kunyumba.